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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Tree Section Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manhattan Beach

Tract 06037620301 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 4,483 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 06037620301 sits in the Tree Section area of Manhattan Beach, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. It is home to 4,483 residents. The severe-burden share is 49%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 7% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,487
Renter share19.7%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$237,798

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Tree Section
Elevated
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In Manhattan Beach
Moderate
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#2,344 of 2,495 tracts In Los Angeles
Very Low
Within state
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#7,670 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Manhattan Beach and the region

Centroid at 33.8985, -118.4051 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tree Section scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Manhattan Beach
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manhattan Beach
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manhattan Beach
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manhattan Beach
3.0

How Tree Section compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tree Section risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 620301Manhattan Beach: 7.07.0Manhattan Beachparent cityCounty: 8.48.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tree Section. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tree Section

Against the Los Angeles County average of 8.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.8 points. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

The voucher gap is 33.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Cost burden runs 64% here against 53.8% across Los Angeles County. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.3/10.

Food insecurity runs 4.9% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Los Angeles. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $237,798, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037620301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037620301?

Census tract 06037620301 in the Tree Section neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06037620301?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037620301?

2.8% of residents in tract 06037620301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,483.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037620301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 44th, minority 47th, housing 17th.
Q5

Is tract 06037620301 considered part of Tree Section?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037620301 fall within Tree Section (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06037620301 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06037620301 compare to Manhattan Beach overall?

Tract 06037620301 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Manhattan Beach at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manhattan Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06037620301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manhattan Beach

Top eight tracts in Manhattan Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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