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Neighborhood · Manhattan Beach, CA

Tree Section Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 22,197 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.6–7.8

Tree Section takes in 6 census tracts of Manhattan Beach, CA and houses 22,197 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.6/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Manhattan Beach baseline of 24.4%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 29%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.1/10.

The voucher gap is 26.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.6 to 7.8, a 2.2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

Running hot is supply constraint at 7.7/10. Food insecurity affects 5.4% of adults, 12.4 points below the national rate. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.2/10. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $3,329, close to the Manhattan Beach average.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $195,127.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
6 tracts · population-weighted
Tree Section vs Manhattan Beach How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.8% +75%
Manhattan Beach: 24.4%
Average gross rent
$3,329 -3%
Manhattan Beach: $3,449
Average HH income
$195,127 +1%
Manhattan Beach: $193,904
Poverty rate
3.2% -12%
Manhattan Beach: 3.6%
Renter share
35.8% +2%
Manhattan Beach: 35.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tree Section and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 5.6–7.8

Why Tree Section scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.9 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 7.2–9.5 across tracts
7.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.4 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
3.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.0 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–8.3 across tracts
7.7
Risk score comparison

Tree Section vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Tree Section score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Tree Section: 5.65.6Tree SectionNeighborhoodParent city: 7.07.0Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Tree Section?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.2 points from 5.6 to 7.8. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Tree Section

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06037980030 7.8
06037620305 5.6 6,021 35% $3,501
06037620400 5.6 5,156 39% $2,852
06037620303 5.6 4,934 41% $3,501
06037620301 5.6 4,483 64% $3,501
06037620201 5.6 1,603 30% $3,205
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 9

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 41%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 44%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 14%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tree Section

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Tree Section

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Tree Section?

Tree Section scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Tree Section compare to Manhattan Beach overall?

Tree Section scores 1.4 points lower than Manhattan Beach overall (7/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $3,329 vs $3,449.
Q3

What is the average rent in Tree Section?

Average gross rent in Tree Section is $3,329/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Tree Section residents are renters?

36% of Tree Section households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Manhattan Beach). The neighborhood has 22,197 residents.
Q5

Is Tree Section a high social-vulnerability area?

Tree Section sits in the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Tree Section have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Tree Section is census tract 06037980030 (score 7.8/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.6 to 7.8, a spread of 2.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Tree Section for landlords?

Tree Section carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Manhattan Beach as a whole (7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Tree Section?

Tree Section has 21,680 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.9%), Hispanic / Latino (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tree Section

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Manhattan Beach

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Tree Section.

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