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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Las Flores Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06059032038 · Orange, CA · pop 6,642 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

06059032038 is a census tract in the Las Flores area of Mission Viejo, CA. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,642. Against Orange County at 51.8%, 27% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 6% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,125
Renter share8.9%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$162,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Las Flores
Very High
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 21 tracts In Las Flores
Very Low
Within county
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#587 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#8,542 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Las Flores and the region

Centroid at 33.5942, -117.6469 · click any tract to drill in

Why Las Flores scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Las Flores
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Las Flores
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Las Flores
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Las Flores
5.7

How Las Flores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Las Flores risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0320384.6Las Floresparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Las Flores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Las Flores

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. It sits 1.9 points below the Orange County average of 7.0.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. At $3,501 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Mission Viejo commands. The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.0% against 11.3% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059032038

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059032038?

Census tract 06059032038 in the Las Flores neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059032038?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059032038?

2.7% of residents in tract 06059032038 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,642.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059032038?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 32th, minority 57th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 06059032038 considered part of Las Flores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059032038 fall within Las Flores (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059032038 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059032038 compare to Las Flores overall?

Tract 06059032038 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Las Flores at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Las Flores; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Las Flores

Top eight tracts in Las Flores ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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