Coto de Caza Eviction Risk: Moderate

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 7.0% against 17.8% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.8/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.5% against 11.3% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $233,611, annual rent is just 18%. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.