Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

San Juan Capistrano Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06059032061 · Orange, CA · pop 5,673 · 56% of tract blocks fall in San Juan Capistrano

Census tract 06059032061 covers part of San Juan Capistrano, CA, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 6% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,190
Renter share12.1%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$179,608

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In San Juan Capistrano
Low
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#593 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#8,725 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Juan Capistrano and the region

Centroid at 33.5223, -117.6459 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Juan Capistrano scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
5.2

How San Juan Capistrano compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Juan Capistrano risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0320616.0San Juan Capistranparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Juan Capistrano

At $3,501 a month, rents run 44% over what the rest of San Juan Capistrano commands. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.3/10.

Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.1 points. The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation runs 5.5% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.1/10.

47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Orange County average of 51.8%. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.1% against 11.3% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059032061

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059032061?

Census tract 06059032061 in San Juan Capistrano scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059032061?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059032061?

5.0% of residents in tract 06059032061 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,673.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059032061?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 61th, minority 49th, housing 73th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06059032061 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06059032061 compare to San Juan Capistrano overall?

Tract 06059032061 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of San Juan Capistrano at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Juan Capistrano; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Juan Capistrano

Top eight tracts in San Juan Capistrano ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related