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Census Tract · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

San Juan Capistrano Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 06059032061 · Orange, CA · pop 5,673 · 56% of tract blocks fall in San Juan Capistrano

The Moderate-tier score of 5.5/10 for census tract 06059032061 reflects conditions in San Juan Capistrano, California. It lands near the 58th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,501 monthly, set against $179,608 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 6% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,190
Renter share12.1%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$179,608

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In San Juan Capistrano
Very Low
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#559 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#8,691 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
National
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#63,481 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Juan Capistrano and the region

Centroid at 33.5223, -117.6459 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Juan Capistrano scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
5.2

How San Juan Capistrano compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Juan Capistrano risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 032061San Juan Capistran: 7.67.6San Juan Capistranparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Juan Capistrano

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Juan Capistrano, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059032061

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059032061?

Census tract 06059032061 in San Juan Capistrano scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059032061?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059032061?

5.0% of residents in tract 06059032061 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,673.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059032061?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 61th, minority 49th, housing 73th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06059032061 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06059032061 compare to San Juan Capistrano overall?

Tract 06059032061 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of San Juan Capistrano at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Juan Capistrano; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Juan Capistrano

Top eight tracts in San Juan Capistrano ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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