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Census Tract · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally

San Juan Capistrano Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06059042340 · Orange, CA · pop 2,571

Census tract 06059042340 covers part of San Juan Capistrano, CA, and scores 7.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,571 residents. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 20% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units827
Renter share45.5%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$75,021

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In San Juan Capistrano
Very High
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#241 of 613 tracts In Orange
Elevated
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4,555 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#10,727 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Juan Capistrano and the region

Centroid at 33.4924, -117.6745 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Juan Capistrano scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$2,434 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
5.2

How San Juan Capistrano compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Juan Capistrano risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.4This tracttract 0423406.0San Juan Capistranparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Juan Capistrano

Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $75,021, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Food insecurity runs 28.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 21.0% against 11.3% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from San Juan Capistrano rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 55% of renters. It tracks the Orange County average of 7.0 closely. Average gross rent is $2,434, close to the San Juan Capistrano average.

45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059042340

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059042340?

Census tract 06059042340 in San Juan Capistrano scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059042340?

Median gross rent is $2,434/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059042340?

16.7% of residents in tract 06059042340 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,571.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059042340?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 85th, minority 84th, housing 97th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06059042340 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06059042340 compare to San Juan Capistrano overall?

Tract 06059042340 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of San Juan Capistrano at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Juan Capistrano; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Juan Capistrano

Top eight tracts in San Juan Capistrano ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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