Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
San Juan Capistrano Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06059042312 · Orange, CA · pop 8,586
06059042312 is a census tract in San Juan Capistrano, CA. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,248
Renter share39.5%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$126,483
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Juan Capistrano and the region
Centroid at 33.5068, -117.6615 · click any tract to drill in
Why San Juan Capistrano scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,024 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Juan Capistrano
5.2
How San Juan Capistrano compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.9%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 10.3%Transit barriers
- 16.0%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 31.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in San Juan Capistrano
The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.6 points below the Orange County average of 7.0. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.1/10.
Average gross rent is $2,024, 17% below the San Juan Capistrano average. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in two of renters. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $126,483.
40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059042312
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059042312?
Census tract 06059042312 in San Juan Capistrano scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059042312?
Median gross rent is $2,024/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059042312?
8.6% of residents in tract 06059042312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,586.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059042312?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 31th, minority 82th, housing 98th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06059042312 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06059042312 compare to San Juan Capistrano overall?
Tract 06059042312 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of San Juan Capistrano at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Juan Capistrano; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Juan Capistrano
Top eight tracts in San Juan Capistrano ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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