Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Niguel Shores Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dana Point
Tract 06059042339 · Orange, CA · pop 3,112 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 06059042339 covers part of the Niguel Shores area of Dana Point, CA, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,112 residents. The severe-burden share is 43%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,396
Renter share46.1%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$115,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dana Point and the region
Centroid at 33.4801, -117.6965 · click any tract to drill in
Why Niguel Shores scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dana Point
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$3,219 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dana Point
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dana Point
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dana Point
5.9
How Niguel Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Niguel Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.6%Food insecurity
- 8.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 5.6%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Niguel Shores
Against Orange County at 51.8%, 69% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $115,000, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 2.1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10.
Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 3.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Orange County average of 7.0 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059042339
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059042339?
Census tract 06059042339 in the Niguel Shores neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059042339?
Median gross rent is $3,219/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059042339?
8.2% of residents in tract 06059042339 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,112.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059042339?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 59th, minority 43th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 06059042339 considered part of Niguel Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059042339 fall within Niguel Shores (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06059042339 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06059042339 compare to Dana Point overall?
Tract 06059042339 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of Dana Point at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dana Point; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dana Point
Top eight tracts in Dana Point ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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