4 census tracts · pop 17,993 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10
· range 5.7–6.7
Niguel Shores takes in 4 census tracts of Dana Point, CA, population 17,993. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.3/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Dana Point baseline of 32.3%, 54% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Severe burden reaches 30%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.9/10.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10. The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.7 to 6.7, a 1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.
Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10. Food insecurity affects 8.6% of adults, 9.2 points below the national rate.
5.0% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. At $2,913 a month, rents sit 6% under what the rest of Dana Point commands. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $128,572.
43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Niguel Shores vs Dana PointHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport29%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Niguel Shores
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
8.0%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility shutoff threat
8.6%Food insecurity
7.4%SNAP enrollment
5.0%No health insurance
26.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Niguel Shores
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Niguel Shores?
Niguel Shores scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Niguel Shores compare to Dana Point overall?
Niguel Shores scores 0.6 points lower than Dana Point overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,913 vs $3,106.
Q3
What is the average rent in Niguel Shores?
Average gross rent in Niguel Shores is $2,913/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Niguel Shores residents are renters?
43% of Niguel Shores households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Dana Point). The neighborhood has 17,993 residents.
Q5
Is Niguel Shores a high social-vulnerability area?
Niguel Shores sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Niguel Shores have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Niguel Shores is census tract 06059042313 (score 6.7/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 6.7, a spread of 1 points.
Q7
How safe is Niguel Shores for landlords?
Niguel Shores carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dana Point as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Niguel Shores?
Niguel Shores has 17,990 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.5%), Hispanic / Latino (14.3%), Other / Multiracial (5.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
