Neighborhood · Dana Point, CA

Niguel Shores Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 17,993 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.3–3.9

Niguel Shores is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Dana Point with 4 census tracts and a population of 17,993 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,913/month sits 6% lower than the Dana Point citywide average ($3,106).

Risk score

3.6

Lower

4 tracts · population-weighted

Niguel Shores vs Dana Point How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

54.0% +67%

Dana Point: 32.3%

Average gross rent

$2,913 -6%

Dana Point: $3,106

Average HH income

$128,572 +1%

Dana Point: $127,246

Poverty rate

7.4% -3%

Dana Point: 7.6%

Renter share

43.2% +15%

Dana Point: 37.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Niguel Shores and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.3–3.9

Why Niguel Shores scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Rent control risk

54% of income on rent · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

43% renter households · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts

7.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Economic stress

7.4% below poverty line · Range 1.1–2.2 across tracts

1.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–6.8 across tracts

5.0

Risk score comparison

Niguel Shores vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Niguel Shores?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.6 points from 3.3 to 3.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

3.9 3.9 3.5 3.3

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Niguel Shores

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06059042313	3.9	5,450	38%	$2,391
06059042339	3.9	3,112	69%	$3,219
06059042338	3.5	4,914	63%	$3,434
06059042323	3.3	4,517	53%	$2,766

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 23

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 27%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 30%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 29%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Niguel Shores

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.0%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility shutoff threat
8.6%Food insecurity
7.4%SNAP enrollment
5.0%No health insurance
26.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Niguel Shores

What is the eviction-risk score for Niguel Shores?

Niguel Shores scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Niguel Shores compare to Dana Point overall?

Niguel Shores scores 4.2 points lower than Dana Point overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,913 vs $3,106.

What is the average rent in Niguel Shores?

Average gross rent in Niguel Shores is $2,913/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Niguel Shores residents are renters?

43% of Niguel Shores households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Dana Point). The neighborhood has 17,993 residents.

Is Niguel Shores a high social-vulnerability area?

Niguel Shores sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Niguel Shores have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Niguel Shores is census tract 06059042313 (score 3.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 3.9, a spread of 0.6 points.

How safe is Niguel Shores for landlords?

Niguel Shores carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dana Point as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Niguel Shores?

Niguel Shores has 17,990 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.5%), Hispanic / Latino (14.3%), Other / Multiracial (5.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Niguel Shores

3.6 South Cove 2 tracts · pop 11,805 3.2 El Niguel Heights 6 tracts · pop 28,261 3 Flora Vista 2 tracts · pop 11,265 2.9 Niguel Summit 4 tracts · pop 15,654 3.9 Sea Summit 3 tracts · pop 10,992 2.8 Talega 4 tracts · pop 24,535

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dana Point

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Niguel Shores.

3.5 South Cove 2 tracts · pop 11,805

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