Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
Upper Greenridge Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lake Forest
Tract 06059052423 · Orange, CA · pop 5,568 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
06059052423 is a census tract in the Upper Greenridge area of Lake Forest, CA. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,568. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units2,185
Renter share61.0%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate23.5%
Median income$115,215
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region
Centroid at 33.6589, -117.6599 · click any tract to drill in
Why Upper Greenridge scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
23.5% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$2,472 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.2
How Upper Greenridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.1%Food insecurity
- 14.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 27.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Upper Greenridge
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against Orange County at 51.8%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Lake Forest as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. Social vulnerability reads 4.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Average gross rent is $2,472, close to the Lake Forest average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $115,215. 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059052423
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052423?
Census tract 06059052423 in the Upper Greenridge neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059052423?
Median gross rent is $2,472/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052423?
23.5% of residents in tract 06059052423 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,568.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052423?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 29th, minority 67th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 06059052423 considered part of Upper Greenridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052423 fall within Upper Greenridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06059052423 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06059052423 compare to Lake Forest overall?
Tract 06059052423 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lake Forest at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest
Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Acacia Knolls
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Grandview Crest
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Lower Heatherview
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Woodside
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Lake Park West
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Lake Park West
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Sycamore Creek
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Park Place Ranchwood
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Related