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Neighborhood · Lake Forest, CA

Upper Greenridge Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 5,568 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.9/10 · range 7.9–7.9

Upper Greenridge is a one-tract neighborhood of Lake Forest, CA, population 5,568. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.9/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Severe burden reaches 42%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Cost burden runs 58% against 34.1% citywide, putting Upper Greenridge 23.6% over its own city. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10.

The poverty rate is 24%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $2,472 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Lake Forest commands.

Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Lake Forest, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Grandview Crest and Lake Park West. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $115,215.

61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 7.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Upper Greenridge vs Lake Forest How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.7% +69%
Lake Forest: 34.1%
Average gross rent
$2,472 -7%
Lake Forest: $2,672
Average HH income
$115,215 -12%
Lake Forest: $131,378
Poverty rate
23.5% +185%
Lake Forest: 8.3%
Renter share
61.0% +107%
Lake Forest: 29.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Upper Greenridge and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.9–7.9

Why Upper Greenridge scores 7.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
61% renter households · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Economic stress
23.5% below poverty line · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Upper Greenridge vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Upper Greenridge score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.9Upper GreenridgeNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Upper Greenridge

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06059052423 7.9 5,568 58% $2,472
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 35

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 29%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 32%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Upper Greenridge

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Upper Greenridge

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Upper Greenridge?

Upper Greenridge scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Upper Greenridge compare to Lake Forest overall?

Upper Greenridge scores 1.3 points higher than Lake Forest overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,472 vs $2,672.
Q3

What is the average rent in Upper Greenridge?

Average gross rent in Upper Greenridge is $2,472/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Upper Greenridge residents are renters?

61% of Upper Greenridge households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Lake Forest). The neighborhood has 5,568 residents.
Q5

Is Upper Greenridge a high social-vulnerability area?

Upper Greenridge sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Upper Greenridge for landlords?

Upper Greenridge carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Forest as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Upper Greenridge?

Upper Greenridge has 5,895 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (36%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (29.4%), Hispanic / Latino (28.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Upper Greenridge

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lake Forest

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Upper Greenridge.

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