Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Heatherview Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lake Forest
Tract 06059052425 · Orange, CA · pop 6,722 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 06059052425 covers part of the Lower Heatherview area of Lake Forest, CA, and scores 6.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,722. Cost burden runs 69% here against 51.8% across Orange County.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units2,558
Renter share49.4%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$100,565
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region
Centroid at 33.6565, -117.6804 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Heatherview scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,690 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.2
How Lower Heatherview compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Heatherview. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.4%Food insecurity
- 12.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.8%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Heatherview
Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $100,565, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10.
Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.3/10. Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Lake Forest rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.9/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Orange County average of 7.0 closely. Average gross rent is $2,690, close to the Lake Forest average.
49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059052425
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052425?
Census tract 06059052425 in the Lower Heatherview neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059052425?
Median gross rent is $2,690/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052425?
9.2% of residents in tract 06059052425 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,722.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052425?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 8th, minority 72th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 06059052425 considered part of Lower Heatherview?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052425 fall within Lower Heatherview (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06059052425 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06059052425 compare to Lake Forest overall?
Tract 06059052425 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Lake Forest at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest
Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Acacia Knolls
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Upper Greenridge
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Grandview Crest
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Woodside
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Lake Park West
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Lake Park West
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Sycamore Creek
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Park Place Ranchwood
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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