Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Summerly Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Elsinore

Tract 06065046403 · Riverside, CA · pop 7,941 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

The Summerly neighborhood of Lake Elsinore anchors census tract 06065046403, which lands at 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,913 monthly, set against $94,803 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 24% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 15% Owners 77%

Tract context

Occupied units2,204

Renter share23.5%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate11.6%

Median income$94,803

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Elsinore and the region

Centroid at 33.6273, -117.3081 · click any tract to drill in

Why Summerly scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lake Elsinore

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.6% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,913 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lake Elsinore

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lake Elsinore

5.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lake Elsinore

6.5

How Summerly compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

74%Socioeconomic
72%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
56%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Summerly. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.7%Housing insecurity
10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
24.8%Food insecurity
21.1%SNAP enrollment
12.3%Transit barriers
15.3%No health insurance
19.7%Frequent mental distress
38.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Summerly

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Elsinore, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Riverside County average of 6.2 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06065046403

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06065046403?

Census tract 06065046403 in the Summerly neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06065046403?

Median gross rent is $1,913/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06065046403?

11.6% of residents in tract 06065046403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,941.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06065046403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 72th, minority 80th, housing 56th.

Is tract 06065046403 considered part of Summerly?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06065046403 fall within Summerly (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06065046403 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06065046403 compare to Lake Elsinore overall?

Tract 06065046403 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Elsinore at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Elsinore; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Elsinore

Top eight tracts in Lake Elsinore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.