Summerfield Eviction Risk: Moderate , Moreno Valley

The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

At $3,501 a month, rents run 64% over what the rest of Moreno Valley commands. The voucher gap is 51.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $104,960, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. It sits 0.8 points below the Riverside County average of 6.6.

Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.