Neighborhood · Ranked #4,393 of 84,120 nationally

Carleton Tract Eviction Risk: High , Sacramento

Tract 06067003700 · Sacramento, CA · pop 4,721 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 06067003700 sits in the Carleton Tract area of Sacramento eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.9/10. Population here is 4,721. Against Sacramento County at 50.2%, around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

8.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 15% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units1,419

Renter share44.7%

SVI overall0.85

Poverty rate17.1%

Median income$69,935

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sacramento and the region

Centroid at 38.5336, -121.4693 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carleton Tract scores 8.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Sacramento

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

17.1% poverty · this tract

4.3

Supply constraint

$1,648 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Sacramento

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Sacramento

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Sacramento

8.0

How Carleton Tract compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

93%Socioeconomic
87%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
37%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
3%Grade B
70%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carleton Tract. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.0%Housing insecurity
11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
25.7%Food insecurity
23.9%SNAP enrollment
13.5%Transit barriers
15.3%No health insurance
19.6%Frequent mental distress
34.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carleton Tract

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8.5/10.

Against the Sacramento County average of 7.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8/10. SNAP participation runs 23.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 25.7% against 17.8% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,648, close to the Sacramento average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06067003700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06067003700?

Census tract 06067003700 in the Carleton Tract neighborhood scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06067003700?

Median gross rent is $1,648/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06067003700?

17.1% of residents in tract 06067003700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,721.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06067003700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 87th, minority 91th, housing 37th.

Is tract 06067003700 considered part of Carleton Tract?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06067003700 fall within Carleton Tract (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06067003700 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06067003700 compare to Sacramento overall?

Tract 06067003700 scores 8.9/10, higher than the parent city of Sacramento at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sacramento eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06067003700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sacramento

Top eight tracts in Sacramento ranked by composite eviction-risk score.