Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Carmichael Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06067005903 · Sacramento, CA · pop 2,879 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 06067005903, home to 2,879 residents in Carmichael in Carmichael, scores 6.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 86% of US census tracts.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,538 a month while the average household earns $59,595 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 84% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 34% Owners 17%

Tract context

Occupied units1,278

Renter share83.6%

SVI overall0.59

Poverty rate14.0%

Median income$59,595

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carmichael and the region

Centroid at 38.6137, -121.3506 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carmichael scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Carmichael

6.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

14.0% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$1,538 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Carmichael

7.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Carmichael

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Carmichael

6.7

How Carmichael compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

73%Socioeconomic
35%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
41%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carmichael. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.5%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
19.1%Food insecurity
20.2%SNAP enrollment
11.2%Transit barriers
8.5%No health insurance
20.7%Frequent mental distress
31.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carmichael

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carmichael, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sacramento County average of 6.3 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06067005903

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06067005903?

Census tract 06067005903 in the Carmichael neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06067005903?

Median gross rent is $1,538/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06067005903?

14.0% of residents in tract 06067005903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,879.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06067005903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 35th, minority 63th, housing 41th.

Is tract 06067005903 considered part of Carmichael?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06067005903 fall within Carmichael (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06067005903 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06067005903 compare to Carmichael overall?

Tract 06067005903 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Carmichael at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carmichael; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carmichael

Top eight tracts in Carmichael ranked by composite eviction-risk score.