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Census Tract · Ranked #2,214 of 84,120 nationally

Victorville Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06071009914 · San Bernardino, CA · pop 2,685

Eviction risk in Victorville eviction risk in San Bernardino County centers on tract 06071009914, which scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,685 residents. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

64% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,305 a month against an average household income of $39,308 a year, roughly 40% of income at the averages. About 92% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59% Stable renters 33% Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units1,101
Renter share92.1%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate27.0%
Median income$39,308

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 26 tracts In Victorville
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 466 tracts In San Bernardino
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#1,003 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
National
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2,214 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Victorville and the region

Centroid at 34.5079, -117.3350 · click any tract to drill in

Why Victorville scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Victorville
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
27.0% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,305 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Victorville
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Victorville
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Victorville
8.4

How Victorville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Victorville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.97.9This tracttract 009914Victorville: 8.38.3Victorvilleparent cityCounty: 5.65.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Victorville

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Victorville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Bernardino County average of 6.5 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 32.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06071009914

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06071009914?

Census tract 06071009914 in Victorville scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06071009914?

Median gross rent is $1,305/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06071009914?

27.0% of residents in tract 06071009914 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,685.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06071009914?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 94th, minority 82th, housing 96th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06071009914 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06071009914 compare to Victorville overall?

Tract 06071009914 scores 7.9/10, lower than the parent city of Victorville at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Victorville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Victorville

Top eight tracts in Victorville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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