Census Tract · Ranked #3,157 of 84,120 nationally

Victorville Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06071009138 · San Bernardino, CA · pop 5,557

Census tract 06071009138 belongs to Victorville, California. It is home to 5,557 residents and scores 7.5/10, an elevated reading for landlords. It lands near the 99th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

61% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 61% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,263 a month against an average household income of $81,591 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.

Risk score

7.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 10% Owners 74%

Tract context

Occupied units1,282

Renter share26.5%

SVI overall0.71

Poverty rate33.8%

Median income$81,591

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Victorville and the region

Centroid at 34.4978, -117.3741 · click any tract to drill in

Why Victorville scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Victorville

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

33.8% poverty · this tract

8.4

Supply constraint

$2,263 rent vs county FMR

4.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Victorville

9.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Victorville

8.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Victorville

8.4

How Victorville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
30%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.0%Housing insecurity
13.0%Utility-shutoff threat
30.4%Food insecurity
29.7%SNAP enrollment
15.4%Transit barriers
16.4%No health insurance
19.8%Frequent mental distress
35.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Victorville

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Victorville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Bernardino County average of 6.5 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06071009138

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06071009138?

Census tract 06071009138 in Victorville scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06071009138?

Median gross rent is $2,263/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06071009138?

33.8% of residents in tract 06071009138 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,557.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06071009138?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 78th, minority 86th, housing 30th.

What share of households in tract 06071009138 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06071009138 compare to Victorville overall?

Tract 06071009138 scores 7.5/10, lower than the parent city of Victorville at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Victorville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Victorville

Top eight tracts in Victorville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.