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Census Tract · Ranked #5,153 of 84,120 nationally

Victorville Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06071009138 · San Bernardino, CA · pop 5,557

06071009138 is a census tract in Victorville, CA. It scores 8.6/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 61%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.6
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 10% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,282
Renter share26.5%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate33.8%
Median income$81,591

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 26 tracts In Victorville
Elevated
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#44 of 466 tracts In San Bernardino
Very High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#2,397 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#5,153 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Victorville and the region

Centroid at 34.4978, -117.3741 · click any tract to drill in

Why Victorville scores 8.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Victorville
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
33.8% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$2,263 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Victorville
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Victorville
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Victorville
8.4

How Victorville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Victorville risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.6This tracttract 0091387.2Victorvilleparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Victorville

At $2,263 a month, rents run 40% over what the rest of Victorville commands. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.

The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $81,591, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. It sits 1.8 points above the San Bernardino County average of 6.8. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.4/10.

SNAP participation runs 29.7% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 30.4% against 17.8% nationally. Cost burden runs 61% here against 53.3% across San Bernardino County.

Nationally it ranks #5,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06071009138

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06071009138?

Census tract 06071009138 in Victorville scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06071009138?

Median gross rent is $2,263/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06071009138?

33.8% of residents in tract 06071009138 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,557.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06071009138?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 78th, minority 86th, housing 30th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06071009138 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06071009138 compare to Victorville overall?

Tract 06071009138 scores 8.6/10, higher than the parent city of Victorville at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Victorville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Victorville

Top eight tracts in Victorville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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