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Census Tract · Ranked #2,005 of 84,120 nationally

Victorville Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06071009916 · San Bernardino, CA · pop 5,533

The Elevated-tier score of 7.4/10 for census tract 06071009916 reflects conditions in Victorville, California. That is riskier than about 98% of US census tracts.

About 69% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 65% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,590 a month against an average household income of $53,098 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 13% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,605
Renter share42.0%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate36.2%
Median income$53,098

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 26 tracts In Victorville
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 466 tracts In San Bernardino
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#884 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
National
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2,005 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Victorville and the region

Centroid at 34.5359, -117.3255 · click any tract to drill in

Why Victorville scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Victorville
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
36.2% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,590 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Victorville
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Victorville
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Victorville
8.4

How Victorville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Victorville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.08.0This tracttract 009916Victorville: 8.38.3Victorvilleparent cityCounty: 5.65.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Victorville

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Victorville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Bernardino County average of 6.5 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06071009916

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06071009916?

Census tract 06071009916 in Victorville scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06071009916?

Median gross rent is $1,590/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06071009916?

36.2% of residents in tract 06071009916 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,533.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06071009916?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 97th, minority 88th, housing 47th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06071009916 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06071009916 compare to Victorville overall?

Tract 06071009916 scores 8/10, lower than the parent city of Victorville at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Victorville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Victorville

Top eight tracts in Victorville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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