Census Tract · Ranked #5,153 of 84,120 nationally

Victorville Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06071009916 · San Bernardino, CA · pop 5,533

06071009916 is a census tract in Victorville, CA. It scores 8.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,533. The severe-burden share is 65%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

8.6

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 13% Owners 58%

Tract context

Occupied units1,605

Renter share42.0%

SVI overall0.92

Poverty rate36.2%

Median income$53,098

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Victorville and the region

Centroid at 34.5359, -117.3255 · click any tract to drill in

Why Victorville scores 8.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Victorville

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

36.2% poverty · this tract

9.0

Supply constraint

$1,590 rent vs county FMR

1.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Victorville

9.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Victorville

8.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Victorville

8.4

How Victorville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
88%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

28.4%Housing insecurity
16.2%Utility-shutoff threat
38.3%Food insecurity
39.7%SNAP enrollment
19.0%Transit barriers
19.7%No health insurance
21.5%Frequent mental distress
40.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Victorville

Against San Bernardino County at 53.3%, 69% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.

Food insecurity runs 38.3% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, economic stress reads 9/10.

Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $53,098, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. It sits 1.8 points above the San Bernardino County average of 6.8. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10.

Housing insecurity runs 28.4% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06071009916

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06071009916?

Census tract 06071009916 in Victorville scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06071009916?

Median gross rent is $1,590/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06071009916?

36.2% of residents in tract 06071009916 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,533.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06071009916?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 97th, minority 88th, housing 47th.

What share of households in tract 06071009916 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06071009916 compare to Victorville overall?

Tract 06071009916 scores 8.6/10, higher than the parent city of Victorville at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Victorville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Victorville

Top eight tracts in Victorville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.