Census Tract · Ranked #1,455 of 84,120 nationally

Victorville Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06071009912 · San Bernardino, CA · pop 5,954

With a score of 7.2/10, tract 06071009912 in Victorville in San Bernardino County ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,954 residents. That is riskier than about 97% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,363 monthly, set against $38,228 in average yearly household income, roughly 43% of income at the averages. Renters make up 67% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

8.3

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 27% Owners 33%

Tract context

Occupied units1,966

Renter share66.9%

SVI overall0.97

Poverty rate30.3%

Median income$38,228

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Victorville and the region

Centroid at 34.5068, -117.3135 · click any tract to drill in

Why Victorville scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Victorville

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

30.3% poverty · this tract

7.6

Supply constraint

$1,363 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Victorville

9.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Victorville

8.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Victorville

8.4

How Victorville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

91%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
85%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

29.3%Housing insecurity
17.7%Utility-shutoff threat
40.0%Food insecurity
43.9%SNAP enrollment
20.1%Transit barriers
19.4%No health insurance
22.3%Frequent mental distress
43.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Victorville

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Victorville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Bernardino County average of 6.5 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 29.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06071009912

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06071009912?

Census tract 06071009912 in Victorville scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06071009912?

Median gross rent is $1,363/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06071009912?

30.3% of residents in tract 06071009912 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,954.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06071009912?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 98th, minority 85th, housing 85th.

What share of households in tract 06071009912 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06071009912 compare to Victorville overall?

Tract 06071009912 scores 8.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Victorville at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Victorville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Victorville

Top eight tracts in Victorville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.