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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,339 of 84,120 nationally

Little Mogadishu Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073002803 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,999 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 06073002803 sits in the Little Mogadishu area of San Diego eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.7/10. Population here is 4,999. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

Risk score
9.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 28% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units2,438
Renter share67.5%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$80,991

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 14 tracts In Little Mogadishu
Very Low
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#68 of 328 tracts In San Diego
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#75 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#1,125 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.7638, -117.0836 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Mogadishu scores 9.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$2,092 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5

How Little Mogadishu compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Mogadishu risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.79.7This tracttract 002803San Diego: 8.68.6San Diegoparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Mogadishu. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Mogadishu

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the San Diego County average of 52.5%. At $2,092 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of San Diego commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.9/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $80,991.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073002803

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073002803?

Census tract 06073002803 in the Little Mogadishu neighborhood scores 9.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073002803?

Median gross rent is $2,092/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073002803?

15.6% of residents in tract 06073002803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,999.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073002803?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 47th, minority 74th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 06073002803 considered part of Little Mogadishu?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073002803 fall within Little Mogadishu (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073002803 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073002803 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073002803 scores 9.7/10, higher than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06073002803 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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