Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Shelltown Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073003501 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,150 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 06073003501 sits in the Shelltown area of San Diego eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 26% Owners 35%

Tract context

Occupied units1,003

Renter share65.4%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate22.5%

Median income$59,974

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.7060, -117.1146 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shelltown scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

22.5% poverty · this tract

5.6

Supply constraint

$1,633 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Diego

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Diego

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

How Shelltown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

100%Socioeconomic
83%Household composition
93%Racial/ethnic minority
77%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
23%Grade C
35%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Shelltown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

31.5%Housing insecurity
15.2%Utility-shutoff threat
38.4%Food insecurity
36.7%SNAP enrollment
18.5%Transit barriers
23.7%No health insurance
20.8%Frequent mental distress
37.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shelltown

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. Housing insecurity runs 31.5% against 14.2% nationally.

Set annual rent against average income of $59,974 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Average gross rent is $1,633, 29% below the San Diego average. This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 23.7% against 11.3% nationally. Cost burden runs 60% here against 52.5% across San Diego County.

The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073003501

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073003501?

Census tract 06073003501 in the Shelltown neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073003501?

Median gross rent is $1,633/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073003501?

22.5% of residents in tract 06073003501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,150.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073003501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 83th, minority 93th, housing 77th.

Is tract 06073003501 considered part of Shelltown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073003501 fall within Shelltown (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073003501 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073003501 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073003501 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06073003501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 35% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.