Neighborhood · San Diego, CA

Shelltown Eviction Risk: Elevated

13 census tracts · pop 64,319 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.8/10 · range 4.7–8.2

Shelltown is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in San Diego with 13 census tracts and a population of 64,319 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.8/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 65% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 42% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,423/month sits 38% lower than the San Diego citywide average ($2,313).

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

13 tracts · population-weighted

Shelltown vs San Diego How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

64.9% +100%

San Diego: 32.4%

Average gross rent

$1,423 -38%

San Diego: $2,313

Average HH income

$51,206 -51%

San Diego: $104,321

Poverty rate

14.3% +29%

San Diego: 11.1%

Renter share

75.5% +43%

San Diego: 52.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shelltown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 13 tracts span score 4.7–8.2

Why Shelltown scores 6.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–7.5 across tracts

7.2

Rent control risk

65% of income on rent · Range 6.1–8.0 across tracts

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–8.0 across tracts

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

76% renter households · Range 4.5–7.0 across tracts

6.1

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.7–7.5 across tracts

6.9

Economic stress

14.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–6.6 across tracts

3.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.0 across tracts

1.6

Risk score comparison

Shelltown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Shelltown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 3.5 points from 4.7 to 8.2. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

8.2 7.5 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.5 6.3 4.7

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

13 tracts in Shelltown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06073003502	8.2	4,917	56%	$1,625
06073003501	7.5	4,150	60%	$1,633
06073011801	7.5	3,497	62%	$1,382
06073011802	7.3	7,320	65%	$1,772
06073003303	7.2	4,536	56%	$1,713
06073011700	7.1	6,845	62%	$1,568
06073003901	7.1	4,375	58%	$1,806
06073003603	7.1	3,312	66%	$1,739
06073003602	7	3,593	57%	$1,637
06073003902	6.9	4,282	70%	$1,683
06073003601	6.5	3,526	34%	$1,736
06073022000	6.3	4,336	51%	$1,743
06073003800	4.7	9,630	100%	—

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 13 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 69%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 83%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shelltown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

28.2%Housing insecurity
14.5%Utility shutoff threat
36.3%Food insecurity
35.0%SNAP enrollment
20.1%No health insurance
37.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Shelltown

What is the eviction-risk score for Shelltown?

Shelltown scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier) across 13 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Shelltown compare to San Diego overall?

Shelltown scores 1.9 points lower than San Diego overall (8.7/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,423 vs $2,313.

What is the average rent in Shelltown?

Average gross rent in Shelltown is $1,423/month (pop-weighted across 13 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Shelltown residents are renters?

76% of Shelltown households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in San Diego). The neighborhood has 64,319 residents.

Is Shelltown a high social-vulnerability area?

Shelltown sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Shelltown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Shelltown is census tract 06073003502 (score 8.2/10). Across the 13 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 8.2, a spread of 3.5 points.

How safe is Shelltown for landlords?

Shelltown carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.8/10). Pop-weighted across 13 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Diego as a whole (8.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Shelltown?

Shelltown has 62,154 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (68.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (11.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shelltown

6.8 Valencia Park 6 tracts · pop 27,242 6.1 Alta Vista 11 tracts · pop 49,708 6.1 Golden Hill 4 tracts · pop 18,462 6.6 Asian Pacific Thematic Historic District 10 tracts · pop 28,747 6.6 South Encanto 4 tracts · pop 22,028 6.3 Paradise Hills 2 tracts · pop 6,664

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Diego

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shelltown.

6.8 Science Research Park 5 tracts · pop 17,584 6.7 Kensington 6 tracts · pop 26,430 6.7 La Jolla Colony 6 tracts · pop 24,087 6.9 Asian Pacific Thematic Historic District 10 tracts · pop 28,747 6.9 Valencia Park 6 tracts · pop 27,242 6.9 Park Haven 4 tracts · pop 23,244

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