13 census tracts · pop 64,319 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.9/10
· range 7.2–9.9
Shelltown takes in 13 census tracts of San Diego, CA, population 64,319. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 8.9/10, High tier. The severe-burden share is 42%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Cost burden runs around two-thirds against 32.4% citywide, putting Shelltown 32.5% over its own city. At $1,423 a month, rents sit 38% under what the rest of San Diego commands.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 7.2 to 9.9, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. This is a renter market: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Set annual rent against average household income of $51,206 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.6/10. SNAP participation is 32.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. 20.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.
Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10. Among the 89 mapped neighborhoods of San Diego, it ranks #21 by risk, the upper third.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
8.9
High
13 tracts · population-weighted
Shelltown vs San DiegoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport83%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shelltown
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
28.2%Housing insecurity
14.5%Utility shutoff threat
36.3%Food insecurity
35.0%SNAP enrollment
20.1%No health insurance
37.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Shelltown
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Shelltown?
Shelltown scores 8.9/10 (High tier) across 13 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Shelltown compare to San Diego overall?
Shelltown scores 0.3 points higher than San Diego overall (8.6/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,423 vs $2,313.
Q3
What is the average rent in Shelltown?
Average gross rent in Shelltown is $1,423/month (pop-weighted across 13 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Shelltown residents are renters?
76% of Shelltown households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in San Diego). The neighborhood has 64,319 residents.
Q5
Is Shelltown a high social-vulnerability area?
Shelltown sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Shelltown have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Shelltown is census tract 06073003502 (score 9.9/10). Across the 13 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.2 to 9.9, a spread of 2.7 points.
Q7
How safe is Shelltown for landlords?
Shelltown carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.9/10). Pop-weighted across 13 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Diego as a whole (8.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Shelltown?
Shelltown has 62,154 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (68.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (11.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
