Eviction Risk in Shelltown , San Diego
Tract 06073003902 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,282 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 06073003902 sits in the Shelltown neighborhood of San Diego, California. It has a population of 4,282 and an eviction-risk score of 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). 70% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 45% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,683/month against a median household income of $53,750 — roughly 38% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood — 4,257 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 84.4%
- White (non-Hispanic) 3.9%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 7.1%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 3.8%
- Other / Multiracial 0.8%
How the 6.0/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 2.7 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 6.8 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 6.1 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 7.5 | San Diego (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 8.0 | San Diego (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 8.0 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 7.0 | San Diego (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 7.5 | San Diego (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 2.9 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 1.0 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shelltown. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.5%Housing insecurity
- 12.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.5%Food insecurity
- 28.3%SNAP enrollment
- 15.6%Transit barriers
- 22.1%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 34.7%Any disability
Dominant grade: D — hazardous — formally redlined; mortgage applications routinely denied
Approximately 100% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in San Diego. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 0.0%B (Desirable)
- 0.0%C (Declining)
- 100.0%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 06073003902
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073003902?
Census tract 06073003902 in the Shelltown neighborhood scores 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 06073003902?
Median gross rent is $1,683/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073003902?
11.7% of residents in tract 06073003902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,282.
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073003902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 88th, minority 95th, housing 79th.
Is tract 06073003902 considered part of Shelltown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073003902 fall within Shelltown (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
What share of households in tract 06073003902 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.2% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 06073003902 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is D (Hazardous / redlined). Roughly 100% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in San Diego. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.