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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Bostonia Eviction Risk: High , El Cajon

Tract 06073016504 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,729 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 9.3/10, tract 06073016504 in the Bostonia area of Bostonia, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 19% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,335
Renter share70.4%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$59,129

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In Bostonia
Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In El Cajon
Moderate
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#104 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#1,347 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across El Cajon and the region

Centroid at 32.8134, -116.9559 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bostonia scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from El Cajon
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,920 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Cajon
9.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Cajon
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Cajon
8.0

How Bostonia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bostonia risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.39.3This tracttract 016504El Cajon: 7.97.9El Cajonparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bostonia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bostonia

73% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the San Diego County average of 52.5%. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.2/10. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $59,129, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. SNAP participation runs 28.8% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 23.3% against 14.2% nationally.

At $1,920 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Bostonia commands. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073016504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073016504?

Census tract 06073016504 in the Bostonia neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073016504?

Median gross rent is $1,920/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073016504?

18.6% of residents in tract 06073016504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,729.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073016504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 31th, minority 70th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 06073016504 considered part of Bostonia?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073016504 fall within Bostonia (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073016504 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073016504 compare to El Cajon overall?

Tract 06073016504 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of El Cajon at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Cajon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon

Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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