Tract 06073016302 ·
San Diego, CA · pop 5,918 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 06073016302 sits in the Bostonia area of El Cajon, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.3/10. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.
Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%Stable renters 28%Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,784
Renter share77.6%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate27.6%
Median income$56,154
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83th percentile
#2 of 7 tracts In Bostonia
High
Within parent city
91th percentile
#3 of 22 tracts In El Cajon
Very High
Within county
86th percentile
#101 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
85th percentile
#1,347 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across El Cajon and the region
Centroid at 32.8039, -116.9434 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bostonia scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from El Cajon
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
27.6% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,825 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Cajon
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Cajon
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Cajon
8.5
How Bostonia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
22.5%Housing insecurity
12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
27.8%Food insecurity
29.9%SNAP enrollment
14.5%Transit barriers
13.0%No health insurance
21.7%Frequent mental distress
35.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bostonia
31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $56,154 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the San Diego County average of 52.5%. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.
The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Food insecurity runs 27.8% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 22.5% against 14.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073016302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073016302?
Census tract 06073016302 in the Bostonia neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073016302?
Median gross rent is $1,825/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073016302?
27.6% of residents in tract 06073016302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,918.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073016302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 94th, minority 66th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 06073016302 considered part of Bostonia?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073016302 fall within Bostonia (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073016302 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073016302 compare to El Cajon overall?
Tract 06073016302 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of El Cajon at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Cajon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon
Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.