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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Bostonia Eviction Risk: High , El Cajon

Tract 06073016404 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,790 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 06073016404 covers part of the Bostonia area of El Cajon, CA, and scores 9.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,790. 48% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 25% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units906
Renter share61.5%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate36.6%
Median income$46,737

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Bostonia
Elevated
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 22 tracts In El Cajon
Elevated
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#103 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#1,347 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across El Cajon and the region

Centroid at 32.8056, -116.9288 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bostonia scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from El Cajon
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
36.6% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$1,598 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Cajon
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Cajon
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Cajon
8.5

How Bostonia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bostonia risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.39.3This tracttract 016404El Cajon: 7.97.9El Cajonparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bostonia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bostonia

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $46,737, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Food insecurity runs 36.2% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 9.1/10.

Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Housing insecurity runs 26.8% against 14.2% nationally. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the San Diego County average of 52.5%.

At $1,598 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of El Cajon commands. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073016404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073016404?

Census tract 06073016404 in the Bostonia neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073016404?

Median gross rent is $1,598/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073016404?

36.6% of residents in tract 06073016404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,790.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073016404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 92th, minority 63th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 06073016404 considered part of Bostonia?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073016404 fall within Bostonia (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073016404 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073016404 compare to El Cajon overall?

Tract 06073016404 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of El Cajon at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Cajon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in El Cajon

Top eight tracts in El Cajon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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