Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Nob Hill Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075012002 · San Francisco, CA · pop 2,102 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06075012002 in the Lower Nob Hill area of San Francisco, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,102. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 44% Owners 13%

Tract context

Occupied units1,359

Renter share87.0%

SVI overall0.86

Poverty rate17.0%

Median income$71,619

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7875, -122.4184 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Nob Hill scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

17.0% poverty · this tract

4.2

Supply constraint

$2,373 rent vs county FMR

2.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Lower Nob Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

82%Socioeconomic
10%Household composition
75%Racial/ethnic minority
100%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower Nob Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.8%Housing insecurity
5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
13.3%Food insecurity
10.7%SNAP enrollment
7.6%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
22.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Nob Hill

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. This is renter territory: 87% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Set annual rent against average income of $71,619 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 49% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the San Francisco County average of 37.3%.

22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely. Average gross rent is $2,373, close to the San Francisco average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075012002

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075012002?

Census tract 06075012002 in the Lower Nob Hill neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075012002?

Median gross rent is $2,373/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075012002?

17.0% of residents in tract 06075012002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,102.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075012002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 10th, minority 75th, housing 100th.

Is tract 06075012002 considered part of Lower Nob Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075012002 fall within Lower Nob Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075012002 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075012002 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075012002 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.