Neighborhood · San Francisco, CA

Lower Nob Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated

6 census tracts · pop 15,248 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.4/10 · range 5.6–7.4

Lower Nob Hill is a white-asian neighborhood in San Francisco with 6 census tracts and a population of 15,248 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 44% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 20% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,949/month sits 21% lower than the San Francisco citywide average ($2,476).

Risk score

6.4

Elevated

6 tracts · population-weighted

Lower Nob Hill vs San Francisco How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

43.7% +74%

San Francisco: 25.1%

Average gross rent

$1,949 -21%

San Francisco: $2,476

Average HH income

$79,628 -44%

San Francisco: $141,446

Poverty rate

13.8% +30%

San Francisco: 10.6%

Renter share

90.2% +46%

San Francisco: 61.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower Nob Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 5.6–7.4

Why Lower Nob Hill scores 6.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts

8.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts

9.8

Rent control risk

44% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

90% renter households · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts

9.5

Economic stress

13.8% below poverty line · Range 2.1–5.6 across tracts

3.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.2 across tracts

1.3

Risk score comparison

Lower Nob Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lower Nob Hill?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.8 points from 5.6 to 7.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

7.4 6.7 6.5 6.2 5.8 5.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

6 tracts in Lower Nob Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06075012302	7.4	2,614	49%	$1,724
06075012002	6.7	2,102	49%	$2,373
06075012204	6.5	2,720	37%	$1,604
06075012100	6.2	3,513	36%	$1,911
06075012001	5.8	1,912	66%	$2,115
06075011901	5.6	2,387	33%	$2,137

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 62

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 10%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 72%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 96%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower Nob Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

11.7%Housing insecurity
6.4%Utility shutoff threat
14.5%Food insecurity
12.3%SNAP enrollment
7.1%No health insurance
24.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Lower Nob Hill

What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Nob Hill?

Lower Nob Hill scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Lower Nob Hill compare to San Francisco overall?

Lower Nob Hill scores 3.3 points lower than San Francisco overall (9.7/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,949 vs $2,476.

What is the average rent in Lower Nob Hill?

Average gross rent in Lower Nob Hill is $1,949/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Lower Nob Hill residents are renters?

90% of Lower Nob Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 15,248 residents.

Is Lower Nob Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Lower Nob Hill sits in the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Lower Nob Hill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lower Nob Hill is census tract 06075012302 (score 7.4/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.6 to 7.4, a spread of 1.8 points.

How safe is Lower Nob Hill for landlords?

Lower Nob Hill carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.4/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Nob Hill?

Lower Nob Hill has 14,082 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (28.8%), Hispanic / Latino (19%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lower Nob Hill

7.7 Little Saigon 8 tracts · pop 18,992 5.3 Polk Gulch 7 tracts · pop 19,044 7.6 Union Square 4 tracts · pop 11,524 7.4 Chinatown 7 tracts · pop 17,750 5.3 Russian Hill 7 tracts · pop 19,794 5.8 West SoMa 6 tracts · pop 16,950

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Francisco

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lower Nob Hill.

6.4 Transbay 3 tracts · pop 8,443 6.6 Fillmore District 3 tracts · pop 9,457 6.1 Hayes Valley 5 tracts · pop 17,521 6.8 Hunters Point 3 tracts · pop 9,850 6 Little Hollywood 2 tracts · pop 8,929 5.9 West SoMa 6 tracts · pop 16,950

Zoom out