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Neighborhood · San Francisco, CA

Lower Nob Hill Eviction Risk: High

6 census tracts · pop 15,248 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.9/10 · range 9.9–9.9

Lower Nob Hill is a 6-tract neighborhood of San Francisco, CA, population 15,248. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 9.9/10, High tier. Against a San Francisco baseline of 25.1%, 44% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 10/10.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 10/10. This is a renter market: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Average gross rent is $1,949, 21% below the San Francisco average of $2,476. That places it #1 of 53 neighborhoods in San Francisco. The closest comparables inside the same city are Civic Center and Fillmore District.

Its 6 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $79,628.

With little internal variation, 9.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.9
High
6 tracts · population-weighted
Lower Nob Hill vs San Francisco How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.7% +74%
San Francisco: 25.1%
Average gross rent
$1,949 -21%
San Francisco: $2,476
Average HH income
$79,628 -44%
San Francisco: $141,446
Poverty rate
13.8% +30%
San Francisco: 10.6%
Renter share
90.2% +46%
San Francisco: 61.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower Nob Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 9.9–9.9

Why Lower Nob Hill scores 9.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
90% renter households · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
13.8% below poverty line · Range 2.1–5.6 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.2 across tracts
1.3
Risk score comparison

Lower Nob Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lower Nob Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.9Lower Nob HillNeighborhood9.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lower Nob Hill?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 9.9 to 9.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Lower Nob Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06075012100 9.9 3,513 36% $1,911
06075012204 9.9 2,720 37% $1,604
06075012302 9.9 2,614 49% $1,724
06075011901 9.9 2,387 33% $2,137
06075012002 9.9 2,102 49% $2,373
06075012001 9.9 1,912 66% $2,115
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 62

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 10%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 96%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower Nob Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lower Nob Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Nob Hill?

Lower Nob Hill scores 9.9/10 (High tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lower Nob Hill compare to San Francisco overall?

Lower Nob Hill scores 0.0 points higher than San Francisco overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,949 vs $2,476.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lower Nob Hill?

Average gross rent in Lower Nob Hill is $1,949/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lower Nob Hill residents are renters?

90% of Lower Nob Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 15,248 residents.
Q5

Is Lower Nob Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Lower Nob Hill sits in the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lower Nob Hill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lower Nob Hill is census tract 06075012100 (score 9.9/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.9 to 9.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Lower Nob Hill for landlords?

Lower Nob Hill carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.9/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Nob Hill?

Lower Nob Hill has 14,082 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (28.8%), Hispanic / Latino (19%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lower Nob Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Francisco

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lower Nob Hill.

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