Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

North of Panhandle Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075015802 · San Francisco, CA · pop 3,340 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 06075015802 sits in the North of Panhandle area of San Francisco eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. It is home to 3,340 residents. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 57% Owners 21%

Tract context

Occupied units1,572

Renter share78.5%

SVI overall0.39

Poverty rate18.8%

Median income$142,700

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7781, -122.4385 · click any tract to drill in

Why North of Panhandle scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

18.8% poverty · this tract

4.7

Supply constraint

$2,443 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How North of Panhandle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
68%Grade C
10%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North of Panhandle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.7%Housing insecurity
5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
9.3%Food insecurity
8.3%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
4.7%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
20.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North of Panhandle

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. This is renter territory: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Cost burden runs 28% here against 37.3% across San Francisco County. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075015802

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075015802?

Census tract 06075015802 in the North of Panhandle neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075015802?

Median gross rent is $2,443/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075015802?

18.8% of residents in tract 06075015802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,340.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075015802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 3th, minority 62th, housing 92th.

Is tract 06075015802 considered part of North of Panhandle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075015802 fall within North of Panhandle (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075015802 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075015802 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075015802 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075015802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 10% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.