Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Outer Mission Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075026303 · San Francisco, CA · pop 4,612 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 06075026303 covers part of the Outer Mission area of San Francisco, CA, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,612 residents. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the San Francisco County average of 37.3%.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 9% Owners 80%

Tract context

Occupied units1,342

Renter share19.3%

SVI overall0.47

Poverty rate6.2%

Median income$94,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7097, -122.4435 · click any tract to drill in

Why Outer Mission scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

6.2% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$2,382 rent vs county FMR

2.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Outer Mission compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

27%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
11%Grade B
75%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Outer Mission. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.1%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
17.4%Food insecurity
11.8%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
9.5%No health insurance
13.6%Frequent mental distress
27.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Outer Mission

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely. Average gross rent is $2,382, close to the San Francisco average.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $94,167.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075026303

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075026303?

Census tract 06075026303 in the Outer Mission neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075026303?

Median gross rent is $2,382/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075026303?

6.2% of residents in tract 06075026303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,612.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075026303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 43th, minority 89th, housing 61th.

Is tract 06075026303 considered part of Outer Mission?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075026303 fall within Outer Mission (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075026303 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075026303 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075026303 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075026303 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.