Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Outer Mission Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075026004 · San Francisco, CA · pop 3,839 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 9.3/10, tract 06075026004 in the Outer Mission area of San Francisco, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,839. Severe burden reaches 40%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

9.3

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 16% Owners 67%

Tract context

Occupied units1,121

Renter share33.4%

SVI overall0.42

Poverty rate8.2%

Median income$133,542

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7179, -122.4357 · click any tract to drill in

Why Outer Mission scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.2% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

5.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Outer Mission compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

30%Socioeconomic
49%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
40%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
86%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Outer Mission. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.3%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
17.0%Food insecurity
11.7%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
10.1%No health insurance
13.8%Frequent mental distress
27.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Outer Mission

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10.

At $3,501 a month, rents run 41% over what the rest of San Francisco commands. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. Against San Francisco County at 37.3%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $133,542.

33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075026004

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075026004?

Census tract 06075026004 in the Outer Mission neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075026004?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075026004?

8.2% of residents in tract 06075026004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,839.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075026004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 49th, minority 85th, housing 40th.

Is tract 06075026004 considered part of Outer Mission?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075026004 fall within Outer Mission (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075026004 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075026004 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075026004 scores 9.3/10, lower than the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075026004 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 86% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.