Outer Mission Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10.

At $1,648 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of San Francisco commands. Cost burden runs 42% here against 37.3% across San Francisco County. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the San Francisco County average of 9.5 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $102,131.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.