7 census tracts · pop 32,346 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.6/10
· range 9–9.9
Outer Mission takes in 7 census tracts of San Francisco, CA and houses 32,346 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.6/10, placing it in the High tier. Against a San Francisco baseline of 25.1%, 47% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 10/10.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 10/10. 26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
At $2,175 a month, rents sit 12% under what the rest of San Francisco commands. That places it #21 of 53 neighborhoods in San Francisco.
For a like-for-like read, Ingleside Terraces and Potrero Terrace score within a fraction of it. Its 7 tracts score within 0.9 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $118,413. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
9.6
High
7 tracts · population-weighted
Outer Mission vs San FranciscoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport69%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Outer Mission
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
12.4%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility shutoff threat
18.0%Food insecurity
12.6%SNAP enrollment
9.6%No health insurance
27.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Outer Mission
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Outer Mission?
Outer Mission scores 9.6/10 (High tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Outer Mission compare to San Francisco overall?
Outer Mission scores 0.3 points lower than San Francisco overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,175 vs $2,476.
Q3
What is the average rent in Outer Mission?
Average gross rent in Outer Mission is $2,175/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Outer Mission residents are renters?
32% of Outer Mission households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 32,346 residents.
Q5
Is Outer Mission a high social-vulnerability area?
Outer Mission sits in the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Outer Mission have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Outer Mission is census tract 06075026301 (score 9.9/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9 to 9.9, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7
How safe is Outer Mission for landlords?
Outer Mission carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.6/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Outer Mission?
Outer Mission has 31,195 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (59.2%), Hispanic / Latino (25.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
