Rincon Hill Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. At $3,501 a month, rents run 41% over what the rest of San Francisco commands.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. SNAP participation runs 3.5% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $250,001, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.