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Neighborhood · San Francisco, CA

Rincon Hill Eviction Risk: High

5 census tracts · pop 11,163 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.1/10 · range 8.8–9.9

Rincon Hill spans 5 census tracts of San Francisco, CA and houses 11,163 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 9.1/10, in the High tier. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 10/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 10/10.

At $3,328 a month, rents sit 34% over what the rest of San Francisco commands. The 5 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 8.8 to 9.9, a 1.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

12% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Against a San Francisco baseline of 25.1%, roughly one in three of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. SNAP participation is 6.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

4.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. That places it #41 of 53 neighborhoods in San Francisco. Against average income of $222,515, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 9.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.1
High
5 tracts · population-weighted
Rincon Hill vs San Francisco How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.2% +20%
San Francisco: 25.1%
Average gross rent
$3,328 +34%
San Francisco: $2,476
Average HH income
$222,515 +57%
San Francisco: $141,446
Poverty rate
6.0% -43%
San Francisco: 10.6%
Renter share
61.9% +0%
San Francisco: 61.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rincon Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 8.8–9.9

Why Rincon Hill scores 9.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
6.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.6 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.0–5.6 across tracts
5.1
Risk score comparison

Rincon Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rincon Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.1Rincon HillNeighborhood9.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Rincon Hill?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.1 points from 8.8 to 9.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Rincon Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06075061508 9.9 2,222 36% $3,174
06075061505 9 1,061 14% $3,501
06075061507 8.9 1,772 48% $2,987
06075061504 8.9 1,567 31% $3,317
06075061506 8.8 4,541 23% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 10%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 5%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 61%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rincon Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Rincon Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rincon Hill?

Rincon Hill scores 9.1/10 (High tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rincon Hill compare to San Francisco overall?

Rincon Hill scores 0.8 points lower than San Francisco overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $3,328 vs $2,476.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rincon Hill?

Average gross rent in Rincon Hill is $3,328/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rincon Hill residents are renters?

62% of Rincon Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 11,163 residents.
Q5

Is Rincon Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Rincon Hill sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Rincon Hill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Rincon Hill is census tract 06075061508 (score 9.9/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.8 to 9.9, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Rincon Hill for landlords?

Rincon Hill carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.1/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Rincon Hill?

Rincon Hill has 11,781 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (53%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.4%), Hispanic / Latino (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rincon Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Francisco

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rincon Hill.

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