Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Manteca Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06077005125 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 2,086 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Manteca
Tract 06077005125 sits in Manteca, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. It is home to 2,086 residents. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units673
Renter share37.6%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate20.6%
Median income$90,313
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
National
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manteca and the region
Centroid at 37.8203, -121.2303 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manteca scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manteca
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
20.6% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,952 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manteca
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manteca
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manteca
6.5
How Manteca compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.1%Food insecurity
- 17.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.0%Transit barriers
- 12.6%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 34.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manteca
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Against San Joaquin County at 47.9%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. The voucher gap is 12.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Manteca rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the San Joaquin County average of 6.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,952, close to the Manteca average.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $90,313. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06077005125
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005125?
Census tract 06077005125 in Manteca scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06077005125?
Median gross rent is $1,952/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005125?
20.6% of residents in tract 06077005125 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,086.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005125?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 87th, minority 67th, housing 45th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06077005125 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06077005125 compare to Manteca overall?
Tract 06077005125 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Manteca at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manteca; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manteca
Top eight tracts in Manteca ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06077005108
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06077005109
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06077005133
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06077005124
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06077005132
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06077005138
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06077005140
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06077005136
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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