Manteca Eviction Risk: Moderate

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.6/10. Cost burden runs 60% here against 47.9% across San Joaquin County.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. It sits 1.7 points below the San Joaquin County average of 6.8.

At $2,535 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Manteca commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. 9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $109,569. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.