Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Manteca Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06077005140 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,864
With a score of 6.9/10, tract 06077005140 in Manteca, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,864 residents. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,343
Renter share35.8%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$78,884
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manteca and the region
Centroid at 37.7928, -121.1963 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manteca scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manteca
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,962 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manteca
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manteca
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manteca
6.5
How Manteca compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.3%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.4%Food insecurity
- 23.5%SNAP enrollment
- 13.0%Transit barriers
- 16.2%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 38.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manteca
Cost burden runs 40% here against 47.9% across San Joaquin County. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10. SNAP participation runs 23.5% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 25.4% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 13.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Manteca rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10.
It tracks the San Joaquin County average of 6.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,962, close to the Manteca average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $78,884.
36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06077005140
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005140?
Census tract 06077005140 in Manteca scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06077005140?
Median gross rent is $1,962/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005140?
13.4% of residents in tract 06077005140 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,864.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005140?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 29th, minority 75th, housing 44th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06077005140 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06077005140 compare to Manteca overall?
Tract 06077005140 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Manteca at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manteca; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manteca
Top eight tracts in Manteca ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06077005133
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06077005108
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06077005109
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06077005124
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06077005132
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06077005125
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06077005138
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06077005136
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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