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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Arnaudo Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tracy

Tract 06077005312 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,073 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 06077005312 sits in the Arnaudo Village area of Tracy, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. It is home to 3,073 residents. The voucher gap is 46.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 13% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units957
Renter share23.1%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$131,058

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Arnaudo Village
Moderate
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 23 tracts In Tracy
Low
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#144 of 174 tracts In San Joaquin
Very Low
Within state
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#8,206 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tracy and the region

Centroid at 37.7580, -121.4431 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arnaudo Village scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tracy
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,538 rent vs county FMR
9.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tracy
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tracy
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tracy
5.3

How Arnaudo Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arnaudo Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0053126.6Tracyparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arnaudo Village

The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.6/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.5 points.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. 43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the San Joaquin County average of 47.9%.

Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $2,538, close to the Tracy average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $131,058.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005312

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005312?

Census tract 06077005312 in the Arnaudo Village neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06077005312?

Median gross rent is $2,538/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005312?

8.9% of residents in tract 06077005312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,073.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005312?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 81th, minority 75th, housing 42th.
Q5

Is tract 06077005312 considered part of Arnaudo Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06077005312 fall within Arnaudo Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06077005312 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06077005312 compare to Tracy overall?

Tract 06077005312 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Tracy at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tracy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tracy

Top eight tracts in Tracy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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