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Neighborhood · Tracy, CA

Arnaudo Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,073 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.3–5.3

Arnaudo Village is a one-tract neighborhood of Tracy, CA, population 3,073. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. The voucher gap is 46.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.6/10. Against a Tracy baseline of 30.8%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The severe-burden share is 18%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.2/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10.

Among the 20 mapped neighborhoods of Tracy, it ranks #11 by risk, the middle third. At 23% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Chaparral and Harvest Glen score within a fraction of it.

Average gross rent runs $2,538, close to the Tracy average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $131,058.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Arnaudo Village vs Tracy How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.4% +41%
Tracy: 30.8%
Average gross rent
$2,538 +2%
Tracy: $2,478
Average HH income
$131,058 +11%
Tracy: $118,253
Poverty rate
8.9% +16%
Tracy: 7.7%
Renter share
23.1% -34%
Tracy: 35.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arnaudo Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.3–5.3

Why Arnaudo Village scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Economic stress
8.9% below poverty line · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Risk score comparison

Arnaudo Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Arnaudo Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.3Arnaudo VillageNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Arnaudo Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06077005312 5.3 3,073 43% $2,538
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 58

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 43%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 81%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 42%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arnaudo Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Arnaudo Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arnaudo Village?

Arnaudo Village scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Arnaudo Village compare to Tracy overall?

Arnaudo Village scores 1.3 points lower than Tracy overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,538 vs $2,478.
Q3

What is the average rent in Arnaudo Village?

Average gross rent in Arnaudo Village is $2,538/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Arnaudo Village residents are renters?

23% of Arnaudo Village households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Tracy). The neighborhood has 3,073 residents.
Q5

Is Arnaudo Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Arnaudo Village sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Arnaudo Village for landlords?

Arnaudo Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tracy as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Arnaudo Village?

Arnaudo Village has 3,332 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (46.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arnaudo Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tracy

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arnaudo Village.

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