Duveneck - St. Francis Eviction Risk: Elevated , East Palo Alto
Tract 06081611901 ·
San Mateo, CA · pop 4,392 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
06081611901 is a census tract in the Duveneck - St. Francis area of East Palo Alto, CA. It scores 7.8/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 46%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%Stable renters 19%Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,032
Renter share37.7%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$140,119
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Duveneck - St. Francis
Very Low
Within parent city
0th percentile
#7 of 7 tracts In East Palo Alto
Very Low
Within county
83th percentile
#31 of 173 tracts In San Mateo
High
Within state
57th percentile
#3,885 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Palo Alto and the region
Centroid at 37.4654, -122.1352 · click any tract to drill in
Why Duveneck - St. Francis scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Palo Alto
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,834 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Palo Alto
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Palo Alto
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Palo Alto
7.0
How Duveneck - St. Francis compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
46%Socioeconomic
65%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
84%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Duveneck - St. Francis. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
16.2%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
17.4%Food insecurity
12.4%SNAP enrollment
9.2%Transit barriers
11.8%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
25.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Duveneck - St. Francis
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10.
Average gross rent is $1,834, 18% below the East Palo Alto average. It sits 0.8 points above the San Mateo County average of 7.0.
That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $140,119, annual rent is just 16%.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06081611901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081611901?
Census tract 06081611901 in the Duveneck - St. Francis neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06081611901?
Median gross rent is $1,834/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06081611901?
7.2% of residents in tract 06081611901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,392.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06081611901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 65th, minority 91th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 06081611901 considered part of Duveneck - St. Francis?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081611901 fall within Duveneck - St. Francis (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06081611901 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06081611901 compare to East Palo Alto overall?
Tract 06081611901 scores 7.8/10, right in line with the parent city of East Palo Alto at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Palo Alto; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Palo Alto
Top eight tracts in East Palo Alto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.