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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Duveneck - St. Francis Eviction Risk: High , East Palo Alto

Tract 06081612102 · San Mateo, CA · pop 3,935 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 9.3/10, tract 06081612102 in the Duveneck - St. Francis area of East Palo Alto, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,935. Against San Mateo County at 44.9%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 34% Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,345
Renter share87.3%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$60,093

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Duveneck - St. Francis
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In East Palo Alto
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 173 tracts In San Mateo
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#1,347 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Palo Alto and the region

Centroid at 37.4561, -122.1363 · click any tract to drill in

Why Duveneck - St. Francis scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Palo Alto
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,937 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Palo Alto
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Palo Alto
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Palo Alto
7.0

How Duveneck - St. Francis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Duveneck - St. Francis risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.3This tracttract 6121027.9East Palo Altoparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Duveneck - St. Francis. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Duveneck - St. Francis

31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.

87% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. It sits 2.3 points above the San Mateo County average of 7.0.

Set annual rent against average income of $60,093 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10. Food insecurity runs 28.1% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 23.7% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,937 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of East Palo Alto commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081612102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081612102?

Census tract 06081612102 in the Duveneck - St. Francis neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06081612102?

Median gross rent is $1,937/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081612102?

13.3% of residents in tract 06081612102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,935.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081612102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 29th, minority 87th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 06081612102 considered part of Duveneck - St. Francis?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081612102 fall within Duveneck - St. Francis (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06081612102 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06081612102 compare to East Palo Alto overall?

Tract 06081612102 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of East Palo Alto at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Palo Alto; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Palo Alto

Top eight tracts in East Palo Alto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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