Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally
Duveneck - St. Francis Eviction Risk: Elevated , East Palo Alto
Tract 06081612102 · San Mateo, CA · pop 3,935 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.9/10 for census tract 06081612102 reflects conditions in the Duveneck - St. Francis area of East Palo Alto, California. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,937 a month against an average household income of $60,093 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 87% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,345
Renter share87.3%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$60,093
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Palo Alto and the region
Centroid at 37.4561, -122.1363 · click any tract to drill in
Why Duveneck - St. Francis scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Palo Alto
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,937 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Palo Alto
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Palo Alto
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Palo Alto
7.0
How Duveneck - St. Francis compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Duveneck - St. Francis. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.8%Housing insecurity
- 11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.1%Food insecurity
- 23.7%SNAP enrollment
- 14.1%Transit barriers
- 17.4%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 31.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Duveneck - St. Francis
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Palo Alto, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Mateo County average of 5.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 23.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06081612102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081612102?
Census tract 06081612102 in the Duveneck - St. Francis neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06081612102?
Median gross rent is $1,937/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06081612102?
13.3% of residents in tract 06081612102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,935.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06081612102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 29th, minority 87th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 06081612102 considered part of Duveneck - St. Francis?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081612102 fall within Duveneck - St. Francis (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06081612102 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06081612102 compare to East Palo Alto overall?
Tract 06081612102 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of East Palo Alto at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Palo Alto; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Palo Alto
Top eight tracts in East Palo Alto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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