Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Waterford Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06099002802 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 7,421 · 31% of tract blocks fall in Waterford
Tract 06099002802 sits in Waterford, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.6/10. Population here is 7,421. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,141
Renter share45.7%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$70,443
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waterford and the region
Centroid at 37.6640, -120.8419 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterford scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waterford
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,595 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waterford
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waterford
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waterford
5.7
How Waterford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.2%Food insecurity
- 18.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.8%Transit barriers
- 14.0%No health insurance
- 19.8%Frequent mental distress
- 37.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterford
Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Cost burden runs 39% here against 47.5% across Stanislaus County.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely. Average gross rent is $1,595, close to the Waterford average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $70,443.
46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099002802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099002802?
Census tract 06099002802 in Waterford scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099002802?
Median gross rent is $1,595/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099002802?
10.4% of residents in tract 06099002802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,421.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099002802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 94th, minority 71th, housing 67th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06099002802 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06099002802 compare to Waterford overall?
Tract 06099002802 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Waterford at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waterford; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waterford
Top eight tracts in Waterford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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