Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally
Waterford Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06099002802 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 7,421 · 31% of tract blocks fall in Waterford
Census tract 06099002802 sits in Waterford in Stanislaus County, California eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #35,104 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,595 a month against an average household income of $70,443 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 46% of occupied homes.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,141
Renter share45.7%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$70,443
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
National
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waterford and the region
Centroid at 37.6640, -120.8419 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterford scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waterford
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,595 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waterford
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waterford
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waterford
5.7
How Waterford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.2%Food insecurity
- 18.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.8%Transit barriers
- 14.0%No health insurance
- 19.8%Frequent mental distress
- 37.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterford
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Waterford, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 17.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099002802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099002802?
Census tract 06099002802 in Waterford scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099002802?
Median gross rent is $1,595/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099002802?
10.4% of residents in tract 06099002802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,421.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099002802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 94th, minority 71th, housing 67th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06099002802 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06099002802 compare to Waterford overall?
Tract 06099002802 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Waterford at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waterford; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waterford
Top eight tracts in Waterford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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