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Census Tract · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Waterford Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06099002801 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 5,851 · 36% of tract blocks fall in Waterford

How risky is Waterford for landlords? Census tract 06099002801 scores 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 55% of US census tracts.

About 32% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,625 a month against an average household income of $94,013 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 27% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,713
Renter share39.6%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$94,013

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Waterford
Very High
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#44 of 112 tracts In Stanislaus
Elevated
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#3,581 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#10,885 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Waterford and the region

Centroid at 37.6846, -120.6258 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterford scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Waterford
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,625 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waterford
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waterford
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waterford
5.7

How Waterford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waterford risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 002801Waterford: 7.87.8Waterfordparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterford

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Waterford, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06099002801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099002801?

Census tract 06099002801 in Waterford scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06099002801?

Median gross rent is $1,625/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06099002801?

15.4% of residents in tract 06099002801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,851.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06099002801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 76th, minority 67th, housing 53th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06099002801 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06099002801 compare to Waterford overall?

Tract 06099002801 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Waterford at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waterford; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Waterford

Top eight tracts in Waterford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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