Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Creek Canyon Eviction Risk: Elevated , Newman
Tract 06099003501 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 7,058 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 06099003501 sits in the Creek Canyon area of Newman, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,025
Renter share21.4%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$77,337
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newman and the region
Centroid at 37.3242, -121.0228 · click any tract to drill in
Why Creek Canyon scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newman
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,409 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newman
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newman
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newman
6.6
How Creek Canyon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Creek Canyon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.4%Housing insecurity
- 9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.8%Food insecurity
- 19.2%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 15.3%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 35.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Creek Canyon
Against Stanislaus County at 47.5%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 2.9/10.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,409, close to the Newman average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $77,337.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099003501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003501?
Census tract 06099003501 in the Creek Canyon neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099003501?
Median gross rent is $1,409/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003501?
11.6% of residents in tract 06099003501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,058.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 80th, minority 80th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 06099003501 considered part of Creek Canyon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06099003501 fall within Creek Canyon (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06099003501 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06099003501 compare to Newman overall?
Tract 06099003501 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Newman at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newman; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newman
Top eight tracts in Newman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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