Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally
Creek Canyon Eviction Risk: Elevated , Newman
Tract 06099003502 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 5,593 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 06099003502 belongs to the Creek Canyon neighborhood of Newman, California. It is home to 5,593 residents and scores 5.3/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 51st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 32% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,077 a month while the average household earns $71,935 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,803
Renter share31.0%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$71,935
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newman and the region
Centroid at 37.3034, -121.0359 · click any tract to drill in
Why Creek Canyon scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newman
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,077 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newman
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newman
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newman
6.6
How Creek Canyon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Creek Canyon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.6%Housing insecurity
- 12.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.6%Food insecurity
- 28.5%SNAP enrollment
- 15.1%Transit barriers
- 21.3%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 41.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Creek Canyon
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newman, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Stanislaus County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 24.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099003502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099003502?
Census tract 06099003502 in the Creek Canyon neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099003502?
Median gross rent is $1,077/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099003502?
17.8% of residents in tract 06099003502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,593.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099003502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 36th, minority 88th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 06099003502 considered part of Creek Canyon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06099003502 fall within Creek Canyon (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06099003502 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06099003502 compare to Newman overall?
Tract 06099003502 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Newman at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newman; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newman
Top eight tracts in Newman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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