Cottonwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tulare

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. At $2,168 a month, rents run 51% over what the rest of Tulare commands. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The voucher gap is 51.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.3/10.

Against the Tulare County average of 6.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.7 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.1/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.