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Tulare, California eviction risk overview
Ranked #405 of 1,861 nationally

Tulare, CA Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Tulare County · Population 70,945

In 2026
Risk score
6.2
ELEVATED

85th percentile, California.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 — 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.6 Average4.0 Now6.2
10 5 1976 · score 1.6 1977 · score 1.7 1978 · score 1.8 1979 · score 1.9 1980 · score 1.9 1981 · score 2.0 1982 · score 2.0 1983 · score 2.0 1984 · score 2.0 1985 · score 2.0 1986 · score 2.0 1987 · score 2.0 1988 · score 2.2 1989 · score 2.2 1990 · score 2.4 1991 · score 2.4 1992 · score 2.9 1993 · score 2.9 1994 · score 3.0 1995 · score 3.0 1996 · score 3.0 1997 · score 3.1 1998 · score 3.2 1999 · score 3.2 2000 · score 3.5 2001 · score 3.6 2002 · score 3.7 2003 · score 3.8 2004 · score 3.6 2005 · score 3.7 2006 · score 3.8 2007 · score 4.0 2008 · score 4.7 2009 · score 4.9 2010 · score 4.9 2011 · score 5.1 2012 · score 5.1 2013 · score 5.2 2014 · score 5.4 2015 · score 5.5 2016 · score 5.8 2017 · score 6.1 2018 · score 6.4 2019 · score 6.7 2020 · score 7.7 2021 · score 7.7 2022 · score 7.6 2023 · score 7.7 2024 · score 7.5 2025 · score 6.2 2026 · score 6.2

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.9 Regional 4.9 State 6.8 Economic 7.9 Supply 8.1 Rent Control 7.8 Eviction 6.8 Tenant 8.3 Housing 7.7 6.2 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +20.7% (2024)
    4.9
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.9
  3. State political climate
    California legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    18.0% poverty · 7.9% unemp.
    7.9
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,435 average · 41.5% renters
    8.1
  6. Rent Control risk
    33.7% of income on rent
    7.8
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    263 days filing → judgment
    6.8
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    41.5% renters
    8.3
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    7.7
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tulare and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Tulare compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Tulare County
High
#15 of 60 cities
Rank in county — 76th percentileBottomTop
#15 of 60 cities in Tulare County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in California
High
#303 of 1,594 cities
Rank in state — 81th percentileBottomTop
#303 of 1,594 cities in California for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Tulare risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Tulare: 6.26.2TulareThis cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg in countyState: 6.66.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 6.2
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 6.2/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.6 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 263d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,435/mo. A contested eviction takes 263 days and costs $14,178–$34,414 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 41.5%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 70,945 residents, 41.5% rent. 34% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 18.0% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.9
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.9 and 4.9 (GOP margin +20.7% (2024)). State climate at 6.8 — mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies — and shows up in process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.8, housing court bias 7.7, rent-control risk 7.8. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.8 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 7.9
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 7.9. Supply constraint: 8.1. The numbers behind those: 18.0% poverty, 7.9% unemployment, 34% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Tulare sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Fresno, CA · 279d · ~$24.4k all-in ($88/day) · score 6.9 Fresno Visalia, CA · 283d · ~$23.8k all-in ($84/day) · score 5.9 Visalia Clovis, CA · 257d · ~$22.2k all-in ($87/day) · score 5.8 Clovis Porterville, CA · 256d · ~$21.7k all-in ($85/day) · score 6.3 Porterville Hanford, CA · 291d · ~$24.3k all-in ($83/day) · score 5.9 Hanford Delano, CA · 268d · ~$24.0k all-in ($89/day) · score 6.0 Delano Los Angeles, CA · 273d · ~$22.4k all-in ($82/day) · score 9.1 Los Angeles San Diego, CA · 277d · ~$25.9k all-in ($94/day) · score 7.7 San Diego San Jose, CA · 261d · ~$24.2k all-in ($93/day) · score 8.4 San Jose San Francisco, CA · 273d · ~$23.9k all-in ($88/day) · score 9.2 San Francisco Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.4 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.7 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.2 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.9 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.8 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.2 Seattle Tulare
Tulare · 263d · ~$24.3k all-in ($92/day) · score 6.2 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Tulare, CA

Landlording in Tulare, California, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.2/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above — covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Tulare is a city of 70,945 residents where 41.5% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 33.7% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,435/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing — a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Tulare eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.8/10 — a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Tulare closes 263 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Tulare's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 7.7/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Tulare runs $14,178 to $34,414 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice — common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 263 days of typical timeline and $1,435/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 8.3/10 in Tulare, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (7.8/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5–3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks — but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In California, deposit cap and refund window are statute — exceed at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Tulare: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one — retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match California's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $34,414 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Tulare

Trap · 18.0%
Local poverty rate is 18.0%, and the rent-burden distribution skews the eviction-filings curve toward higher volume in Kings County. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 7.8/10. Tenant organizing is most active in the rental concentration corridors.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Tulare if their lease is up?

Generally, no. California has statewide just-cause eviction requirements. You can only evict for specific, legally defined reasons, even if a fixed-term lease has expired. Simply wanting the property back is not usually a "just cause" unless it falls under owner move-in or a similar specific exemption, which has its own strict rules and potential relocation assistance requirements.

Q2

What if my tenant refuses to leave after the sheriff lockout date?

The sheriff's department will physically remove the tenant and their belongings. You should not attempt to remove them yourself. Once the sheriff posts the final notice, they will enforce the lockout. This is why it's critical to have an attorney involved to ensure the process reaches this stage legally and efficiently.

Q3

How much notice do I need to give for a rent increase in Tulare?

For a rent increase of 10% or less over a 12-month period, you need to provide at least 30 days' written notice. For an increase greater than 10%, you must provide at least 90 days' written notice. Remember that California also has statewide rent caps, so you cannot increase rent beyond the legal limit (5% plus CPI, capped at 10% total).

Q4

Can I charge an application fee in Tulare?

Yes, you can charge an application screening fee in California to cover the actual cost of obtaining a credit report, background check, and other screening services. The fee must be reasonable and cannot exceed the actual out-of-pocket costs. You must provide an itemized receipt for the fee. If you don't use the fee, you must return it.

Q5

What if my tenant claims there are habitability issues to avoid eviction?

Tenants often raise habitability issues as a defense in eviction cases. It's crucial to address repair requests promptly and document all communication and repairs. If a tenant can prove you failed to maintain a habitable property, it could significantly complicate or even stop your eviction case. Always keep up with maintenance and respond to legitimate repair requests in writing.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 6.2/10 places Tulare in the 85th percentile of California cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1–10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976 — a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.