Skip to content
Neighborhood · Tulare, CA

Cottonwood Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 13,127 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 5.2–7.1

Cottonwood spans 2 census tracts of Tulare, CA, population 13,127. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.1/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Against a Tulare baseline of 33.7%, 75% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

28% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.2 to 7.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The voucher gap is 23.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. At $1,766 a month, rents sit 23% over what the rest of Tulare commands.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10. Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.7/10. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $87,792.

28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Cottonwood vs Tulare How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
75.0% +123%
Tulare: 33.7%
Average gross rent
$1,766 +23%
Tulare: $1,435
Average HH income
$87,792 +26%
Tulare: $69,517
Poverty rate
13.1% -27%
Tulare: 18.0%
Renter share
28.2% -32%
Tulare: 41.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cottonwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.2–7.1

Why Cottonwood scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Rent control risk
75% of income on rent · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
28% renter households · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Economic stress
13.1% below poverty line · Range 2.2–4.6 across tracts
3.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.0–10.0 across tracts
7.2
Risk score comparison

Cottonwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cottonwood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.1CottonwoodNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Cottonwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06107002904 7.1 6,028 53% $1,292
06107002403 5.2 7,099 93% $2,168
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 62

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 69%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 40%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cottonwood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cottonwood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cottonwood?

Cottonwood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cottonwood compare to Tulare overall?

Cottonwood scores 0.5 points lower than Tulare overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 75% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,766 vs $1,435.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cottonwood?

Average gross rent in Cottonwood is $1,766/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cottonwood residents are renters?

28% of Cottonwood households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Tulare). The neighborhood has 13,127 residents.
Q5

Is Cottonwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Cottonwood sits in the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cottonwood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cottonwood is census tract 06107002904 (score 7.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 7.1, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Cottonwood for landlords?

Cottonwood carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tulare as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cottonwood?

Cottonwood has 13,904 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (60.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.4%), Other / Multiracial (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cottonwood

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further